Showing posts with label Germany. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Germany. Show all posts
By Anna Jarman

Picture: Globe License: Public Domain

Last year, the “refugee crisis” experienced a political reckoning, as governments around the world sought to tighten boarders and curtail refugee-friendly policies where they had previously existed.  At the same time, the number of displaced people continued to climb in 2017, after it reached its highest number ever at 65 million people at the end of 2016.  The below events chronicle 2017’s most significant developments in the refugee crisis and the policy responses to it.

Travel Ban – Shortly after taking office, President Trump signed an Executive Order titled “Protecting the Nation from Foreign Terrorist Entry into the United States,” which greatly reduced the number of refugees the U.S. would admit -- including blocking admission of all Syrian refugees -- and suspended entry of nationals from seven Muslim-majority countries for 90 days.  The order was met with immediate protests, international criticism, and legal challenges by those who saw the order as a “Muslim ban.”  A nationwide temporary restraining order was issued in the case Washington v. Trump, and upheld by the Ninth Circuit.  The first order was replaced by a second and then a third order which revised the original list of countries, clarified the effect on green-card holders, and made the 90-day ban permanent.  The Ninth Circuit upheld a lower court decision finding the order unlawful in Hawaii v. Trump; the Supreme Court granted cert in January, and allowed the administration to implement the travel ban while legal challenges were pending.

Refugees Cross U.S. Border into Canada – the number of asylum seekers illegally crossing from the U.S. into Canada spiked to more than 15,000 people last year.  The refugees, many of whom fear Trump’s immigration policies, were met by both opposition by anti-migrant groups and a supportive response by Canada, which granted asylum at increasing rates.

South Sudan Displacement from South Sudan’s war became the largest refugee crisis in Africa.  More than 2 million people had fled to neighboring countries by the end of the year, with another 2 million displaced inside the country.

Rohingya Refugee Crisis – After a group of militant Rohingya Muslims attacked police bases in northern Myanmar on August 25, the army responded with a brutal show of force, burning villages, killing civilians, and raping women.  Within weeks, over 420,000 Rohingya refugees had fled, leading to a mass exodus “unprecedented in terms of volume and speed,” according to the International Organization for Migration.  Over 700,000 Rohingya have now fled to squalid refugee camps in neighboring Bangladesh.  The U.N.’s human rights commission described the retaliation as ethnic cleansing and possibly genocide.

German and Austrian Elections – Radical right-wing populist parties performed well in both the Austrian and German elections.  The newly elected Chancellor of Austria, Sebastian Kurz, earned his reputation as foreign minister for tightening Austria’s borders during the refugee crisis, when Austria was taking in more asylum-seekers than any EU country except Sweden.  Germany’s chancellor, Angela Merkel has tightened her asylum policy under pressure from the far right and in response to backlash against her initial welcoming stance.  Germany resumed deporting Afghans whose asylum claims were rejected after stopping deportations in May when a bombing near the German embassy in Kabul killed around 150 people.

Manus Island Removal – Hundreds of asylum seekers held for years in an Australian-run detention center on Papua New Guinea’s Manus Island were forcibly removed in November, three weeks after Australia officially closed the camp.  Afraid to leave the camp, the refugees had remained, despite Australia cutting off electricity, food, and water.  Security forces eventually stormed the camp destroying the refugees’ shelters and belongings. 

Climate Change Spurs Migration -- Research published last year suggests that changing weather is spurring people to seek asylum in Europe, and predicts that trend to continue as temperatures are projected to rise.  The research has sparked discussions on the appropriateness of the current definition of “refugee,” which includes people fleeing persecution but not those forced to leave by climate change.

East Congo Eleven Congolese refugees were killed by Rwandan police responding to a protest over reduced food rations in a Kiziba camp.  Over 17,000 Congolese refugees inhabit the Western Rwanda refugee camp.  Violence in Eastern Congo has worsened recently due to clashes between government soldiers, local militias, and foreign rebels.

Looking ahead, the U.S. Supreme Court is expected to hear arguments on the travel ban this year, and the new Austrian and German governments are likely to further articulate their more restrictive immigration policies.  At the same time, the international community will grapple with how to respond to the world’s ever-increasing number of displaced persons fleeing conflict, ethnic cleansing, and changing climate.
By Alex Yeager

In a controversial move, British Prime Minister David Cameron has called for a June 23 referendum on whether the nation should leave the Euro Zone.  A “Brexit,” as many are calling it, is a lightning rod issue in the nation and all over Europe.  Other European nations have been extremely bearish on the move, with the German finance minister going as far as to say that an exit would be “poison” for both the UK and the current Euro zone.  In recent weeks, pundits have raised concerns about the move ranging from currency dilution to border control.  Yet while an exit does not appear to be immediately imminent, Britain’s continued membership in the Euro Zone seems anything but certain.
By Victoria Hines

On October 10, approximately 250,000 protestors took to the streets of Berlin to stress their opposition to the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). The TTIP is a free trade deal that is currently being negotiated between the U.S. and the European Union. The criticisms of this deal mirrors many complaints that have been made about the recently concluded Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal between the U.S. and Pacific Rim countries. Moreover, opponents warn that the TTIP could force public services, including the United Kingdom’s National Health Service (NHS), to privatize. European anxieties regarding trade agreements are perhaps even greater than American fears since freer trade is bound to have a more radical effect on European services and values.
By Derek Hunter

A sign of how dire the Greek debt crisis has become is its most recent debt reduction measure -- tax spies. Worthy citizens and tourists alike will be recruited to engage in clandestine collection, and these masters of economic espionage will then pose as customers at suspicious stores. While Greece’s latest attempt to address its revenue shortfalls might seem humorous, the country’s financial condition is not. As the New York Times reports, a third bailout is all but a certainty if Greece is going to avoid default, and Greece will need more than amateur tax spies if it wants countries like Germany to accommodation a debt restructuring.
By Stephen Levy 

The Joint Plan of Action, the interim agreement made between the five permanent members of the UN Security Council (UNSC) and Germany (P5+1) and Iran in 2013 set the final deadline on a permanent agreement on Iran’s nuclear program on November 24, 2014. On that date, however, the two sides were unable to reach an agreement, and extended the deadline to March 24, 2015.

The continuation of negotiations has angered two influential parties with additional political motives. First is Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu, whose party is clinging to a narrow lead in the polls for a March Knesset election primarily due to Netanyahu’s national security credentials. Netanyahu has consistently opposed striking a deal with Iran, and warned the West that only continued sanctions would end the crisis. U.S. Republicans in Congress, joined by multiple Democrats, have also proposed additional sanctions against Iran should it fail to negotiate in good faith. House Speaker John Boehner invited Netanyahu to give a speech in front of a Joint Session of Congress, setting off fierce discussions on whether the President can meet with leaders up for election, whether Congress and the White House should coordinate on speeches by foreign diplomats to Congress, and the relationship between Israel and Iran itself.
By Sam Willie

A new American Chamber of Commerce survey reflects growing irritation amongst those looking to make foreign direct investment (FDI) in France. In particular, some respondents highlighted concerns regarding: the cost of labor, the corporate-tax regime, the economic environment, the social climate, including political instability and strikes, and the quality of the workforce. As a result and not too surprisingly, investors are turning to Britain and Germany to make FDI. At a time when competition for job-creating FDI is fierce, the sentiments echoed in the survey results should come as worrying news for French PM François Hollande.
By Jenny Park

Deutsche Bank, Germany’s largest lender, has swung to post a net loss in the third quarter, compared to a profit in the same period last year. This posting is largely the result of increasing penalties from global authorities in response to allegations of the firm’s wrongdoings. Among these allegations, Deutsche Bank is alleged to have manipulated benchmark interest rates and to have colluded to manipulate the foreign-exchange market. The firm has set aside €894m for legal costs. 

Read more here.
By Catherine Kent

Reuters reported on Sunday that Germany and France are secretly discussing a deal that would allow the European Commission to approve Paris’s draft 2015 budget, despite the budget exceeding European Union debt limits. The agreement sets a blueprint for France to reduce its deficit and undergo structural reform. This deal is important to Germany, because it would avert a clash between two of the Commission’s prominent players, and foster German-French relations.

If this draft works, Germany will oppose any sanctions that the European Commission proposes and France will side-step the EU’s austerity measures. On Wednesday,  France will propose its rule-defying draft in Brussels, and face the grim possibility of fines if the draft is rejected.
By Craig Tarasoff

China has been replaced by Germany as the world leader in trade surplus. According to the International Monetary Fund, Germany’s large surplus may be sapping growth from the world economy. As Germany’s trade surplus continues to grow, expect other countries to apply the same pressure as it did on China just eight years ago.
By Sam Obenhaus

European Union lawmakers struck an agreement with member states that will establish a single resolution mechanism for winding down banks in the event of their failure.  How to structure this authority has been debated for nearly two years.  European Union lawmakers generally support the creation of a centralized rescue fund while member states, most notably Germany, resist any efforts to pool resources into a pan-European Union bailout fund.  Germans fear they will be left on the hook for bailouts of non-German banks.

The agreement reached on Friday creates a bailout fund that will be capitalized by levies on banks.  While some of the money will be put in “national compartments” and not pooled, these divisions will be slowly phased out as the fund is capitalized over an eight-year period.  This is a major victory, at least in principle, for the European Parliament.

While the agreement is a breakthrough, the rescue fund’s €55 billion size strikes many as inadequate.  Another persistent concern is the mechanism’s complexity, which may make the proscribed wind-down process too slow and unwieldy to implement in the context of a financial crisis.

The Financial Times and Wall Street Journal have more on this story.
By Matt Klinger

To prevent surveillance by the National Security Agency (N.S.A), some large companies with customers outside the U.S. are offering to store their client's data entirely abroad.  

Microsoft, for instance, recently indicated it would give customers some choice about where their data is stored.  Similarly, a Dutch telecom operator plans to set up servers in the Netherlands so that its encrypted data never leaves the country, while an alliance of German phone and internet operators have discussed doing a similar thing.  Going even a step further, Brazil has considered legislation that would force companies like Facebook to store data on Brazilian users inside the country.  And some European Union (E.U.) officials support requiring E.U. citizens' data to be stored within the union's borders.

But how effective are such measures likely to be?  Not very, according to some analysts, including a retired deputy director of the N.S.A.  It seems foreign countries that want to protect their citizens' data will have to benefit from legal reforms, such as changes to U.S. law or the adoption of a binding international instrument.  But such measures are unlikely to take effect soon, if at all.