The U.S. National Intelligence Council's (NIC) Global
Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds provides an interesting perspective on
technology and the future. According to the NIC, four technology "arenas" will shape
global developments to 2030: (1) information technologies (like data solutions,
smart cities, etc.); (2) automation and manufacturing technologies (like 3D
printing and autonomous vehicles); (3) resource technologies (think genetically
modified crops); and (4) health technologies (like human augmentation).
The impact of technology is among five potential
"game-changers" the NIC identifies that could lead to four widely
varying scenarios for 2030. These "potential worlds" largely
vary based on the level of international cooperation to address global
challenges and the power of non-state actors to confront (or contribute to)
these issues.
Although the report doesn't make this point explicitly, the
implication is clear: to avoid dangerous potential outcomes countries and individually need to develop appropriate legal regimes in concert to
govern projected technological developments.
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